Bust: Derek Carr, Raiders
Through the first eight games of last season, Derek Carr looked like a superstar-in-the-making, throwing for 2,094 yards, 19 touchdowns, and only four interceptions. But in the second half of the season, his stats dropped to 1,893 yards, 13 touchdowns, and nine interceptions. So, the simple question is: if you draft Derek Carr next season, which version are you getting? With all the free agent moves the Raiders made in the offseason, there’s going to be a lot pressure on them to win games. Teams definitely won’t overlook them, the way they might have in 2015. Plus, given the fact that the Raiders don’t exactly have a dynamic running game, there’s going to be even more pressure on Carr to carry the offense. How will he respond to that pressure, considering he’s only in his third NFL season? I’m not necessarily saying you should outright “avoid” Derek Carr, because there is a lot of upside (especially in keeper leagues). But I’d be a little reluctant to bank on him as a sure-fire QB1, as he was for stretches of last season, and as many envision him being this season. Bold Prediction: David Carr will finish outside the top 18 for fantasy quarterbacks.